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08-01-2015, 02:22 AM
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#1 | 2x Variable Nockenwellen Steuerung
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| Canada in ‘mild recession’ after economy shrinks five months in a row
With people going apesheep about lions, dogs, scooters.. no one talked about we are in a recession!! Not just a technical one With Amazon just opened at Braid street and coming downtown.. I think it will be interesting times for Lower Mainland.
But seems construction is still going well in town, still get some companies turn down multimillion projects. Canada in ?mild recession? after economy shrinks five months in a row - The Globe and Mail
SERES LU The Globe and Mail
Published Friday, Jul. 31, 2015 8:39AM EDT
Last updated Friday, Jul. 31, 2015 4:47PM EDT
Canada’s economy has chalked up its longest slump since the Great Recession amid trouble from the oil patch to the factory floor.
The economy contracted 0.2 per cent in May, Statistics Canada said Friday, marking the fifth consecutive month of decline. It also showed a surprise drop in manufacturing of 1.7 per cent.
The Bank of Canada is projecting a GDP loss of 0.5 per cent for the second quarter, following a 0.6-per-cent loss in the first quarter.
But the hope is that the weaker Canadian dollar and lower interest rates will still spark a rebound in the second half of the year, one Canadians have been waiting on despite anticipation since January of stimulated exports and manufacturing activity.
Soft American demand in the first quarter proved a drag on expected growth while the oil and gas sector further demonstrated heavy influence on manufacturing.
“The oil and gas sector accounts for 25 per cent of all of our capital spending. It’s not the largest driver of manufacturing activity in Canada, but it’s been responsible for a lot of the growth in recent years,” said Mike Holden, director of policy and economics at Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters, an industry association. “You cut out that growth driver and suddenly you’re left in a situation that looks like this.”
Manufacturing has disappointed expectations this year. The sector has grown only once so far, by 0.2 per cent in March, and has overall seen a 2.3-per-cent decline from the same period last year.
“There’s been a lot of cancelled or delayed oil sands projects and energy sector projects in Alberta and across the country,” Mr. Holden said. Those projects would have fed demand in manufacturing for machinery and equipment, all of which has disappeared because of the poor outlook for energy and mining. The durable manufacturing sector is down by 4.8 per cent from last May, tracking a 6.9-per-cent decrease in the energy sector.
Though manufacturing had the biggest decline, it wasn’t the only sector hurting. May numbers saw three out of five goods-producing industries and 11 out of 15 service industries post declines.
“What’s notable is the breadth of weakness in May,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO. “It was spread across a number of sectors and we can’t just point to the resource sector. Some of the other declines are tough to explain away.”
And yet analysts remain optimistic for a positive showing in June, though perhaps with less emphasis on manufacturing.
“We think it will be a solid month for GDP in June,” said Mr. Porter, citing strong auto and home sales and robust hours-worked employment numbers. “We don’t want to exaggerate the numbers, but June should be positive.”
It won’t be enough to reach the 1 per cent needed to swing the second quarter as a whole into the positive, however, which still leaves Canada with two consecutive quarters of economic contraction. By one technical definition, that would place Canada in a recession.
“What we are experiencing now would be a mild recession,” said Randall Bartlett, senior economist at TD. He points to a classification system used by the C.D. Howe Institute’s Business Cycle Council, which unofficially acts as a deciding body on business cycle dates in Canada. The system ranks recessions on a scale of 1 to 5, where category 1 recessions are defined as having only a short, mild drop in GDP and no decline in quarterly employment. “We would be in a category 1 recession right now,” he said.
But most economists agree brighter times are around the corner, with the economy moving past the negative effects of a host of temporary factors, ranging from bad weather to plant closings to wild fires. Increased spending for the coming federal election, the recent $3-billion payout in government childcare benefits and the continuing low run of the loonie are expected to provide stimulus.
“We expect to see growth of 1.5 to 2 per cent for the second half of 2015 and roughly 2 to 2.5 per cent for next year,” Mr. Bartlett said. “It’s not stellar growth, but it’s definitely better than what we are seeing right now.”
With files from Ahmad Hathout
Last edited by godwin; 08-01-2015 at 02:39 AM.
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08-01-2015, 07:48 AM
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#2 | Need to Seek Professional Help
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"The Canadian dollar is expected to continue its swan dive through 2015, a new report from TD Economics said Monday.
The bank’s economics department suggests the loonie will hit a low of 75 cents U.S. by the beginning of next year as the dollar depreciates because of low oil prices and their impact on the domestic economy." Canadian dollar expected to slip to fresh low of 75 cents, TD says - National | Globalnews.ca |
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08-01-2015, 08:07 AM
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#3 | Head of HR....have a seat on that couch
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Meanwhile, this week, 2 friends sold their properties on the first offer date, for significantly over asking, w/o subjects.
Dat GVRD real estate anomaly.......
__________________ feedback Originally posted by v.b. can we stop, my pussy hurts... Originally posted by asian_XL fliptuner, I am gonna grab ur dick and pee in your face, then rub shit all over my face...:lol Originally posted by Fei-Ji haha i can taste the cum in my mouth Originally posted by FastAnna when I was 13 I wanted to be a video hoe so bad RSUV #7 |
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08-01-2015, 08:46 AM
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#4 | Rs has made me the woman i am today!
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Mild....
__________________ There's a phallic symbol infront of my car Quote:
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| bcrdukes yray fucked bcrdukes up the nose
dapperfied yraisis
dapperfied yray so waisis
FastAnna you literally talk out your ass
FastAnna i really cant
FastAnna yray i cant stand you
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08-01-2015, 08:54 AM
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#5 | My homepage has been set to RS
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tip of the iceberg...
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08-01-2015, 09:32 AM
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#6 | I told him no, what y'all do?
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Originally Posted by fliptuner Meanwhile, this week, 2 friends sold their properties on the first offer date, for significantly over asking, w/o subjects.
Dat GVRD real estate anomaly....... | That's the competition you face
I know dat feel tho
__________________ Feedback http://www.revscene.net/forums/showthread.php?t=611711 Quote: Greenstoner 1 rat shit ruins the whole congee originalhypa You cannot live the life of a whore and expect a monument to your chastity | Quote:
[22-12, 08:51]mellomandidnt think and went in straight..scrapped like a bitch
[17-09, 12:07]FastAnna glowjob
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08-01-2015, 01:45 PM
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#7 | My homepage has been set to RS
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Don't tell Harper government that..
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08-01-2015, 03:59 PM
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#8 | RS has made me the bitter person i am today!
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Except real estate, I'm not sure what industry is doing well in Canada.
My ex-colleague is telling me that my office has just layoff 12 people due to strong competition from US.
My friend who owns a supermarket has a drop of 15% in revenue last month alone.
Another friend who works at Ford is barely making enough so he still has a shelter and food on the table.
It's time for Harper to admit that their bet on a resource-oriented economy plan for Canada has failed (same as Russia) and move to something else.
Too bad it's election year, so it's all about saving face. They would never recognize that they have made a mistake.
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Nothing for now
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08-01-2015, 05:55 PM
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#9 | Fathered more RS members than anybody else. Who's your daddy?
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Us old time frugal types who've been through some tough times will do just fine. I worry about the young ones who have no idea how to cope when things get worse.
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Dirty look from MG1 can melt steel beams.
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08-01-2015, 06:23 PM
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#10 | 2x Variable Nockenwellen Steuerung
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I lived through adult life in the last 3 recessions 80s, 90s, 00s.. This one is "mild", so far.. The worst one I remember was the one in the 90s, when CTV runs story every night about how RE agents were going broke and house sales broke record lows etc.
I think because we are out of sync right now with the States.. the States and UK are doing well.. so all car manufacturers in Ontario are doing awesome.. Movie industry here are doing great. Avcorp is doing overtime..
I go agree with MG1 though, but that's natural selection / Darwin award / Dog eat Dog world / reality.
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08-01-2015, 07:46 PM
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#11 | I contribute to threads in the offtopic forum
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Canada did not push for a resource based economy, it was a a three pronged approach:
- Develop resources
- Encourage immigration (see item below lol)
- Fuel residential and commercial real estate
They pushed resource development with generous tax breaks and royalties, they drove the population up with immigration, and they propped up the economy with sub par lending practices and emergency interest rates.
Here's to planning ahead!
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08-02-2015, 08:10 AM
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#12 | RS has made me the bitter person i am today!
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Originally Posted by Hehe
My friend who owns a supermarket has a drop of 15% in revenue last month alone.
Another friend who works at Ford is barely making enough so he still has a shelter and food on the table.
It's time for Harper to admit that their bet on a resource-oriented economy plan for Canada has failed (same as Russia) and move to something else.
Too bad it's election year, so it's all about saving face. They would never recognize that they have made a mistake. | Retail is doing well as the industry is splintering into high-end and low-end markets. Dollarama is expanding like gangbusters while at the high-end, sales at Holt and Rosen seem to be doing well enough to fund expansions and renovations. Luxury car sales seem to be strong too - even an average Joe can afford a 4-cylinder, leatherette, de-contented BMW or Benz with the very attractive leasing programs. Ford is doing poorly because they've been living off their truck business for the last decade.
The supermarket business has always been cutthroat. Of course, it doesn't help that the cost of everything is going up, so people are substituting proteins or relying on no-names to get by. People also expect loyalty programs in return for their patronage. I also think that the market is splintering with upper middle income earners going to farmer's markets and organic grocers, such as Whole Foods.
Harper relied on a resource economy because that's where the votes were. He can pretty much count on 25-30% support at any one time, regardless of the circumstances.
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08-02-2015, 09:52 PM
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#13 | Proud to be called a RS Regular!
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Move to another province where your bang for your buck gets you further. Face it, Vancouver is expensive as hell. Nobody really wants to move to one of the prairie or maritime provinces, but in all honesty it would be cheaper to live. You gotta pay to play and frankly everyone is paying to be able to make Vancouver their home. Supply & demand at its finest!
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08-02-2015, 10:00 PM
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#14 | To me, there is the Internet and there is RS
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Originally Posted by NotRevSeen Move to another province where your bang for your buck gets you further. Face it, Vancouver is expensive as hell. Nobody really wants to move to one of the prairie or maritime provinces, but in all honesty it would be cheaper to live. You gotta pay to play and frankly everyone is paying to be able to make Vancouver their home. Supply & demand at its finest! | Vancouver does not equal all of B.C.
__________________ Until the lions have their own historians, the history of the hunt will always glorify the hunter. |
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08-02-2015, 11:30 PM
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#15 | reads most threads with his pants around his ankles, especially in the Forced Induction forum.
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Originally Posted by Tapioca Retail is doing well as the industry is splintering into high-end and low-end markets. Dollarama is expanding like gangbusters while at the high-end, sales at Holt and Rosen seem to be doing well enough to fund expansions and renovations. Luxury car sales seem to be strong too - even an average Joe can afford a 4-cylinder, leatherette, de-contented BMW or Benz with the very attractive leasing programs. Ford is doing poorly because they've been living off their truck business for the last decade. | Yea all thanks to the rich immigrants who like to buy high end brands, drive up the price of property and force a lot of hard working class to rent or move away to farther away (IE Port Moody, White Rock). Lets face it even Burnaby, Coq housing price is insane.
Pretty much we are divided into two groups now. People who have money (high class and rich immigrants) and middle/low/students buying and spending their money on low end products.
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08-03-2015, 01:55 AM
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#16 | I *heart* Revscene.net very Muchie
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Originally Posted by Mr.HappySilp Yea all thanks to the rich immigrants who like to buy high end brands, drive up the price of property and force a lot of hard working class to rent or move away to farther away (IE Port Moody, White Rock). Lets face it even Burnaby, Coq housing price is insane.
Pretty much we are divided into two groups now. People who have money (high class and rich immigrants) and middle/low/students buying and spending their money on low end products. | that's pretty much how every major city is in the world. Manhattan is full of rich non local americans/foreigners, london, tokyo, hong kong, shanghai. All the "locals" are either pushed to the burbs or move to cheaper alternative cities. Only place not like this is norway, they just dont give a fuk if you have money or not. You're not getting in means you're not getting in
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08-03-2015, 04:27 AM
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#17 | I WANT MY 10 YEARS BACK FROM RS.net!
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08-03-2015, 04:28 AM
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#18 | I WANT MY 10 YEARS BACK FROM RS.net!
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08-03-2015, 06:23 AM
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#19 | Banned (ABWS)
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Originally Posted by Mr.HappySilp Pretty much we are divided into two groups now. People who have money (high class and rich immigrants) and middle/low/students buying and spending their money on low end products. |
As long as we live in a culture that defines "success" by how much money you have, the above will be the natural order of things!
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08-03-2015, 06:46 AM
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#20 | Banned (ABWS)
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Originally Posted by JasonDussault39 where did our dollar go? |
I get paid in USD... let it slide baby, woo!!!
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08-03-2015, 07:11 AM
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#21 | I WANT MY 10 YEARS BACK FROM RS.net!
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and you don't get double taxed?
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08-03-2015, 07:23 AM
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#22 | Proud to be called a RS Regular!
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Originally Posted by Manic! Vancouver does not equal all of B.C. | I was referring to Vancouver proper. There are many places in BC that I would agree is cheaper but you're talking about small town remote locations that I don't see droves of people willing to move to, because a large majority wants to live in the GVRD.
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08-03-2015, 10:24 AM
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#23 | Everyone wants a piece of R S...
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Originally Posted by asian_XL | I can't believe this is finally happening.
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