Quote:
Originally Posted by Ronin Friend brought up a good point on Twitter. For those of you that play poker, a 50% chance if you bet $1m to win $25m is a good bet. E.g. if the pot is $24m and you have a guaranteed 50% chance to win and it's $1m to call, that's a call pretty much any poker player would make. |
The big difference in poker is you're playing many hands. Over time, you are making the smart bet.
But when you're playing the hand once, you're expected value is either 0 or 25 because 12.5 is not an option that exists.
The better question is what can you do with $1M. I think most ppl can retire in a few years with that money if they learn financial management or give it to a good money manager, but a lot won't think that way. They'll be thinking about buying a house, then car, then vacation, and they'll be left with 200K, so that's why they'll be going for the 25M.