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Earthquake prediction 2011 - west coast. ETA 2 weeks.
I dont start many threads here, but i believe this one is what everyone should click and watch.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQXDt4VdS0E&feature=player_embedded
Hope he is wrong.
threezero
03-18-2011, 02:11 AM
fox news = me no care
ae101
03-18-2011, 02:24 AM
fox news is filled with right wing nut jobs
ooo lala its the ring of fire
HonestTea
03-18-2011, 02:41 AM
Creepy..
satek
03-18-2011, 04:19 AM
noooo I don't wanna die
I'm moving to Calgary................................... and become a Flames fan? I'd rather die right here and now.
Every time I hear the words Ring of Fire, I imagine Johnny Cash.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0lhf9U5Wf3Q
2 n r
03-18-2011, 05:58 AM
i was thinking the exact same thing lol
Soundy
03-18-2011, 06:05 AM
Every time I hear the words Ring of Fire, I imagine Johnny Cash.
I just imagine last night's chili. :devil:
Ferra
03-18-2011, 06:24 AM
maybe this will scare the paranoid china men enough to bring vancouver's housing prices down :troll:
TheKingdom2000
03-18-2011, 07:00 AM
'he's a pretty good geologist'
I hope he's not
Posted via RS Mobile (http://www.revscene.net/forums/announcement.php?a=228)
Glove
03-18-2011, 07:27 AM
earthquake prediction dec 2012
TheNewGirl
03-18-2011, 08:37 AM
Sept 26-30, 2011 if the chick who predicted the last one is right.
I suppose we'll fine out. I do think people are going a little crazy with the doomsday hysteria.
adambomb
03-18-2011, 09:37 AM
You know what's funny. I've been told that we are going to get the "big one" since Grade 1. I remember doing earthquake drills in Grade 1, you know when that was? 1986.
So since 1986 some scientist has been predicting the "big one" for Vancouver but it still hasn't shown up. :inoutugh:
StaxBundlez
03-18-2011, 09:39 AM
oh shit son.. FOX news said this?
better get my shit ready..
CP.AR
03-18-2011, 09:42 AM
OOMG if Fox says it's real it must be. Man those guys are so full of shit. You simply can't predict earthquakes. Kthxbye.
Posted via RS Mobile (http://www.revscene.net/forums/announcement.php?a=228)
RacePace
03-18-2011, 09:48 AM
This is new.
"The Web Bot foresee a West Coast/Vancouver area large-scale earthquake around December 12, 2008."
EDub_
03-18-2011, 10:01 AM
Who knows if he's right/wrong but it is something to think about..we all do share the same plate as the other countries that got the quakes.
Soundy
03-18-2011, 10:38 AM
You know what's funny. I've been told that we are going to get the "big one" since Grade 1. I remember doing earthquake drills in Grade 1, you know when that was? 1986.
So since 1986 some scientist has been predicting the "big one" for Vancouver but it still hasn't shown up. :inoutugh:
They've actually been telling us to be ready for it at least since I was that age... which was about 1974. Fact is, 30-40 years is a mere blip on the geological scale. Geologists can look at how the plates move, and how often these type of quakes have happened in the past, and have figured out that, for the particular fault that concerns us, they've happened before on a "schedule" of something like every 300-350 years (if memory serves)... the last BIG one for this fault was a 9.0 in 1700... which at at this point puts us 311 years. So by historical record, they know it's highly likely that another is due. But predicting an exact date and time from that is difficult at best.
It's like... you know flocks of geese are going to fly over every fall, heading south... but you have no way to know exactly what date or time or exactly where in the sky they'll go over. But come fall, if someone tells you the geese will fly over sometime soon, you can be pretty sure he's right.
Who knows if he's right/wrong but it is something to think about..we all do share the same plate as the other countries that got the quakes.
We don't, actually... see the map here: http://www.crew.org/british-columbia.php
That's what's wrong with these "ring of fire" theories - these areas are all seismically active, but they're not directly connected.
Oleophobic
03-18-2011, 10:43 AM
fail button saved me 5:01 of bullshit.
thanks
CanadaGoose
03-18-2011, 10:45 AM
Truth is, regardless of this FOX news garbage, everyone should have a go-bag/emergency bag stashed somewhere ready to go
When shit hits the fan, it's already too late. You can hardly count on anyone but yourself, and any governement aid should be just that - aid - not your entire lifeline. It took them nearly a week to get fresh water to survivors of Hurricane Katrina....and look at Japan today. Nobody thinks it will happen to them, but when it does, that's your rollcall, and you better be ready
1exotic
03-18-2011, 10:49 AM
I swear every story that comes out of Fox is a lie, those motherfuckers are retarded.
BNR32_Coupe
03-18-2011, 10:54 AM
you simply can't predict earthquakes accurately
Acura604
03-18-2011, 11:19 AM
so on the topic of 'being ready'
what would you pack? a kit at work? a kit in the car? a few at home for you and
your family? some people in Japan had to walk 7hrs+ to get where they had to go.
where would you go? what gear would you pack? how would you connect
with your family?
flagella
03-18-2011, 11:51 AM
lol what a joke. This is no different from an equity analyst predicting stock movements. Failures.
falcon
03-18-2011, 12:15 PM
faux news.
We should have a lottery. Whoever guesses within a week of an earthquake, wins the pot. If it's someone from Richmond........... uh......... he won't........ be ........... able to collect............ as he would be..................
Since most of RS members live in Richmond, I'll have a better chance of winning.
I'll start. I say it happens on the day RS has its summer meet. Wait........ that's most likely going to be in Richmond. LOLOLOLOLOLOL
.....just bugging you guys. I was just trolling, OK?
.
.
.
dachinesedude
03-18-2011, 12:47 PM
if geoglogists were able to predict earthquakes so accurately, japan wouldnt have lost so many lives, so how the fuk are they able to predict it now? cuz theres a clockward pattern? oh please, thats a load of BS
not saying we shouldnt always be prepared, since we live on the pacific ring of fire, we should always have a plan B anyways, predicted earthquake or not
domco
03-18-2011, 01:13 PM
Hey guys I'm a geologist too. I predict there will either be an earthquake or there will be no earthquake because I'm psychic.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_JaRObcLsds
skyxx
03-19-2011, 01:01 AM
http://www.quakecasts.com/warning.php
RUH ROH
http://christian.legnitto.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/scooby_doo.jpg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNaJ9WS5nCc
BrRsn
03-19-2011, 01:10 AM
LOL Fox news, the fucking news anchor sounds like a used car salesmen. Go sell some shamwows or oxyclean on late night television where douches like you with cheap suits belong, Mr. Anchor!
This great geologist releases monthly predictions. He was right ONCE in 1989. Everytime a big quake happens they release these kind of conspiracy theorists into the limelight to scare the sense out of the general public so they buy random overpriced crap ... like that's somehow gonna help em sleep better at night? Because you have a "earthquake kit" you're gonna live? Unless it's strapped to your back, good luck finding it when your house collapses. These news casts scare people, then when people call into ask how they can protect themselves, they'll say go buy this, this and this. People will buy that crap and have a false sense of security. The real information (ie. the Triangle of Life, the fact that you should turn off your gas main, etc.) isn't relayed to the public. I really hate fox news and all the dumbasses who buy into it. I had an argument with a friend who believes this crap lol. I gave up, you can't fight stupidity.
if geoglogists were able to predict earthquakes so accurately, japan wouldnt have lost so many lives, so how the fuk are they able to predict it now? cuz theres a clockward pattern? oh please, thats a load of BS
not saying we shouldnt always be prepared, since we live on the pacific ring of fire, we should always have a plan B anyways, predicted earthquake or not
haha, people love to feel smart and rationalize things. Everyone (even fox news viewers) can read a clock ... so why not feed them the info? I know what you mean, its pretty hilarious.
StylinRed
03-19-2011, 01:18 AM
They've actually been telling us to be ready for it at least since I was that age... which was about 1974. Fact is, 30-40 years is a mere blip on the geological scale. Geologists can look at how the plates move, and how often these type of quakes have happened in the past, and have figured out that, for the particular fault that concerns us, they've happened before on a "schedule" of something like every 300-350 years (if memory serves)... the last BIG one for this fault was a 9.0 in 1700... which at at this point puts us 311 years. So by historical record, they know it's highly likely that another is due. But predicting an exact date and time from that is difficult at best.
We can expect a "big one" within the next 200 years according to the Earthquake Response Plan for British Columbia by the govt.
http://www.aema.alberta.ca/documents/EarthquakeResponsePlanJan08.pdf
Geologic studies have demonstrated that historically unprecedented, magnitude 8 to 9
earthquakes have struck the coastal Pacific Northwest on average once every 500 years over
the last several thousand years; another earthquake of this size can be expected in the next
200 years. These great earthquakes occur when the fault separating the oceanic Juan de
Fuca plate and the continental North America plate ruptures.
there was a recent news article (cant find it now) that gets in a little more detail which says we get a "big one" every 300-800 years and we've passed the minimum threshold of 300, so "anytime" now :rolleyes:
Raid3n
03-19-2011, 01:23 AM
You know what's funny. I've been told that we are going to get the "big one" since Grade 1. I remember doing earthquake drills in Grade 1, you know when that was? 1986.
So since 1986 some scientist has been predicting the "big one" for Vancouver but it still hasn't shown up. :inoutugh:
the longer the time between the events, the bigger the eventual event will be. as pressure will continue to build.
if that "schedule" is to be believed, then we are already on borrowed time.
i'm not saying to run around like a chicken with your head cut off thinking the world is ending tomorrow... just that it's never a bad idea to be prepared. i think i'll be filling up a bunch of 2L bottles with water to stash away. the first thing you're going to think when the utilities get knocked out, is "damn, i'm thirsty..." lol
cococly
03-19-2011, 01:25 AM
Planning a route out of the GVRD after an earthquake would be a good idea.
People in the Lower Mainland could drive North (assuming the second narrow and Lions Gate were still standing). South (towards the border? assuming that Richmond and Delta were good). East (Assuming Highway 1 wasn't damaged).
So where and why would you leave the GVRD?
We have no nuclear facility. We won't be hit with a tsunami.
I'm gonna buy me a generator so I can power up mah big screen and play some video games. Whatever happens, happens.
Ronin
03-19-2011, 03:44 AM
I wouldn't worry about getting a generator.
By the time the earthquake hits, either...
...gas prices will be so astronomically high that you would need to sell all your other earthquake ruined possessions to just to power your Xbox long enough to finish a level of Black Ops.
...or by that time, we won't need gas powered generators anymore since fossil fuels are a thing of the past and now everything runs on fucking magic.
Please...the first time we were told by "experts" to expect a big ass earthquake, Richmond was still full of white people.
I have 6 25L jerry cans in the garage at any one given time. Cheap Abbotsford gas, LOL.
Soundy
03-19-2011, 06:03 AM
Planning a route out of the GVRD after an earthquake would be a good idea.
People in the Lower Mainland could drive North (assuming the second narrow and Lions Gate were still standing). South (towards the border? assuming that Richmond and Delta were good). East (Assuming Highway 1 wasn't damaged).
Keep in mind that we're surrounded by rivers and you can't go anywhere without crossing a bridge... and the only bridges likely to survive a major quake (and still be usable, at least) are the newer ones that have been designed to quake standards: Alex Fraser, Pitt River, and Golden Ears (and the Port Mann, if it's finished). So yeah, yer gonna get dinged for the toll if you try to leave town :D
South... where you gonna go? If this quake hits along the west coast of Vancouver Island, as is expected, everywhere between here and Seattle will be within the same damage radius - you'll just be driving into more of the same. Quakes don't care about borders, the shaking doesn't just stop at the 49th parallel.
Like Civic says, WHY would you leave? Unless you actually have someplace to go, like family in Kelowna or something, what would be the point?
TheNewGirl
03-19-2011, 08:46 AM
The worst case we have to deal with in the lower main land is flooding from the rivers (a few still have older dams on them, though many have already been upgraded), and people who built on sedimentary cliffs sliding down a mountain/into the water and such (chunks of Westwood over looking he quarry come to mind, as does a lot of UBC).
Richmond's land is reclaimed swamp and could theoretically become unstable, it's not going to instantly become a bed of quick sand though, but evacuation of parts of that area may be required for a brief time.
Outside of potential flood and unstable areas most should be stable enough to remain in, though you may be without power and water for a short time.
I would be far more concerned about the people in Victoria and south island area than the lower mainland.
Durrann
03-19-2011, 11:31 AM
So where and why would you leave the GVRD?
We have no nuclear facility. We won't be hit with a tsunami.
I'm gonna buy me a generator so I can power up mah big screen and play some video games. Whatever happens, happens.
can i come over?
ill bring over NHL
toyota86
03-19-2011, 12:00 PM
Was talking about this with a couple of friends the other day. I think if a big enough earthquake does hit us close enough to damage bridges and sink Richmond, it would be pretty hard to evacuate or to bring help in. Even if YVR isn't under water, with no bridges and tunnels connecting everything, getting people and resources in and out would be a problem. Take a ferry to the airport? Prepared to get stranded with very limited resources. A reason why my friend has bullets in his emergency/earthquake kit to fend off looters. Just some random thoughts.
murd0c
03-19-2011, 12:07 PM
I have 6 25L jerry cans in the garage at any one given time. Cheap Abbotsford gas, LOL.
Get a propane generator and propane. the issue of stock piling gas is it goes bad. Propane doesn't go bad that's the key if you are actually getting ready for "the big one" ;)
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TRDood
03-19-2011, 01:22 PM
SFU Burnaby Mountain is a good spot. the parking lots are big enough to get away from all the trees and wires.
Just need to make sure that bears/coyotes don't eat me alive at night.
mr_chin
03-19-2011, 03:50 PM
If an earthquake strikes in the pacific ocean, we won't be as threatened as those in vancouver island and california. Our city will flood but at a rate that gives us time to evacuate to the east or wherever.
But if the quake strikes where we are very close to the epicenter, it could be very dangerous for us as buildings will collapse and fire will probably go blazing.
Believe the story or not, I think everyone should be prepared. Have cans and cans of food and shitload of water. Blankets, sleeping bag, flashlight, heating supply (propane, jerry cans of gasoline, etc.). Tools like knives and all that sort of stuff.
After watching the video of the girl predicting the March 11th - 23rd disaster, it's hard not to be superstitious about these things. I'm not religious or anything but I believe in science, physics, and stuff happening in outerspace that will affect our world disasters.
Klobbersaurus
03-20-2011, 01:18 PM
http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Small+earthquake+rattles+Vancouver+Island/4473811/story.html
:speechless:
Ah, good that I live in Surrey then. No bridges to cross!
PiuYi
03-20-2011, 02:41 PM
http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Small+earthquake+rattles+Vancouver+Island/4473811/story.html
:speechless:
worst thing about that quake is the earthquake "predictors" will be all I TOLD YOU SO on ya :facepalm:
!YaoShi
03-20-2011, 02:55 PM
^ no the worst thing would be all the over-reactors say its a sign of the big one and rushing off to safeway to buy all the salt and seaweed.
I personally hope that all these small earthquakes release some of the tension of the big one....
dachinesedude
03-20-2011, 02:57 PM
worst thing about that quake is the earthquake "predictors" will be all I TOLD YOU SO on ya :facepalm:
thats the problem, a guy can predict 100 different events, he can get 99 wrong but if one of them happens, all of a sudden the dude is credible and is a fucking psychic and praised
The_AK
03-20-2011, 03:16 PM
worst thing about that quake is the earthquake "predictors" will be all I TOLD YOU SO on ya :facepalm:
Worst thing with any disaster (outside of all the people suffering and damage done) is that all of a sudden everyone is an "expert". You check twitter and facebook and people you went to high school with are all of a sudden geologists, nuclear scientists, lawyers, terrorist negotiators, cosmonauts etc. etc.
I mean theres a difference between sharing information with people and making claims.
BNR32_Coupe
03-20-2011, 03:49 PM
I wouldn't worry about getting a generator.
By the time the earthquake hits, either...
...gas prices will be so astronomically high that you would need to sell all your other earthquake ruined possessions to just to power your Xbox long enough to finish a level of Black Ops.
...or by that time, we won't need gas powered generators anymore since fossil fuels are a thing of the past and now everything runs on fucking magic.
Please...the first time we were told by "experts" to expect a big ass earthquake, Richmond was still full of white people.
what makes you think the earthquake would hit in the very distant future? making that type of assumption is as ignorant as saying it will happen by the time you read this. the fact is, we don't know when it will happen. it may be beneficial to purchase a generator given the earthquake hits in the next couple days. but then again, when shit hits the fan, we'll go back to our survival ways, and unless you have an effective means of protecting yourself from others, your generator will go to serve the tougher guys
Get a propane generator and propane. the issue of stock piling gas is it goes bad. Propane doesn't go bad that's the key if you are actually getting ready for "the big one" ;)
Posted via RS Mobile (http://www.revscene.net/forums/announcement.php?a=228)
But I rotate the stock. :fullofwin:
Soundy
03-20-2011, 04:29 PM
Interesting thought: I saw a map somewhere (might have been on the other quake thread, maybe another board... can't find it now) showing the areas of damage relative to the Sendai quake, in Severe, Moderate, and Little-to-No damage levels... using the ruler on Google Earth, it looks like the radius of damage of the little-to-no damage is at most about 300km - it didn't even touch on Hokkaido.
So if you look at the area off the coast of Vancouver Island where they expect our "big one" to be occur, and draw a ruler into the Lower Mainland... 300km ends up anywhere from Mission, to barely touching Richmond (depending on how far up or down the west coast of Vancouver Island it actually hits). The "moderate" area would barely extend beyond the east coast of the Island.
So if ours is on about the same scale as the Sendai quake - same depth, etc. - it doesn't look the Lower Mainland itself would get that much real shaking. Nanaimo, Victoria, etc. will get it pretty bad, and Tofino, Port Hardy, etc. will basically be flattened even before the tsunami hits them.
Edit: not the one I saw before, but here are a couple examples:
http://ihrr.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/japan-eq-dave-image-2.jpg
http://www.japanquakeimages.com/wp-content/uploads/earthquake-intensity-map-110311.gif
ImportXxX
09-10-2011, 11:15 AM
GEtting closer now??
just in time to moved back to hk
good luck with your earthquake goals in 2011 RSers
Mr.HappySilp
09-10-2011, 05:11 PM
Sept 26-30, 2011 if the chick who predicted the last one is right.
I suppose we'll fine out. I do think people are going a little crazy with the doomsday hysteria.
you mean find out instead of fine out @@
Anyways I don't believe any of this BS. If it happens it happens.
Meowjin
09-10-2011, 05:16 PM
GEtting closer now??
fucking kill yourself.
MindBomber
09-10-2011, 06:31 PM
GEtting closer now??
Better unhook your PS3, when the big one hits you'll need to be prepared to get out fast.
Spartacus
01-21-2012, 12:45 AM
Sorry for bump. But do you guys buy earthquake insurance for your home?
My deductible for my newer home is 20k, contemplating if its worth it or not.
Just wondering how many of you out there have this? 2012 is here and you all know whats going down!
Mr.HappySilp
01-21-2012, 12:50 AM
^^ yup just in case.....
Sorry for bump. But do you guys buy earthquake insurance for your home?
My deductible for my newer home is 20k, contemplating if its worth it or not.
Just wondering how many of you out there have this? 2012 is here and you all know whats going down!
added it this year. spoke to a different broker who explained it better and i feel better with it than without
hirevtuner
01-21-2012, 01:54 PM
getting close to home now
6.2 quake hits off coast of southern Mexico - Yahoo! News (http://news.yahoo.com/6-2-quake-hits-off-coast-southern-mexico-191430165.html)
2 n r
01-21-2012, 02:24 PM
^excerpt lol
"It was quite long and felt with a lot of force," said Carlos Lopez Mendoza, spokesman with the Red Cross in El Salvador
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CP.AR
01-21-2012, 02:30 PM
not this shit again :facepalm:
Sorry for bump. But do you guys buy earthquake insurance for your home?
My deductible for my newer home is 20k, contemplating if its worth it or not.
Just wondering how many of you out there have this? 2012 is here and you all know whats going down!
Should check with my insurance broker, but I believe I do. 20k deductible is nothing compared to having to replace a new house. Even if taking into account property/house ratio. Property doesn't go away during an earhtquake, unless you're in Richmond, LOLOLOLOL. J/K....... I know it's not funny for those who live in Richmond. Still........
turbos86
02-04-2012, 01:13 PM
5.7 quake recorded off BC, no tsunami
SEATTLE (AP) -- A magnitude 5.7 earthquake has been recorded about 105 miles west of Ucluelet off the coast of Vancouver Island, British Columbia.
A National Earthquake Information Center geophysicist in Golden, Colo., says there is no danger of a tsunami from the shallow quake. It hit at 12:05 p.m. Saturday.
Geophysicist Rafael Abreu says he doesn't expect to see damage with this quake based on its distance from shore and the low intensity at which it was felt.
A handful of residents in Lopez Island, Wash., as well as Vancouver and Victoria, British Columbia, reported feeling it.
News from The Associated Press (http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_VANCOUVER_ISLAND_QUAKE)
12:05 as in today? I was wainting for the hockey game to start.
Didn't feel a thing....... not even an Avalanche.
StylinRed
02-04-2012, 01:34 PM
105 miles west of Ucluelet off the coast of Vancouver Island, British Columbia.
they should just say an earthquake happened in the middle of the ocean
4doorVIP
02-04-2012, 02:21 PM
Being on the east coast of VI I didn't feel a thing
I'm amazed by the amount of home owners on the west coast that do not have earth quake insurance. Better safe than sorry, folks!
twitchyzero
02-04-2012, 03:02 PM
i'm no homeowner but from my understanding earthquake is usually not covered under regular home insurance...(fire..theft..even heard it's separate from 'natural disaster'?) and can be a pricey coverage
correct me if i'm wrong
i'm no homeowner but from my understanding earthquake is usually not covered under regular home insurance...(fire..theft..even heard it's separate from 'natural disaster'?) and can be a pricey coverage
correct me if i'm wrong
act of god
b0unce. [?]
02-04-2012, 04:02 PM
im ready to die
Mananetwork
02-04-2012, 04:29 PM
There was an earth quake in Lima (coast of Peru) week ago
StylinRed
02-04-2012, 05:31 PM
i'm no homeowner but from my understanding earthquake is usually not covered under regular home insurance...(fire..theft..even heard it's separate from 'natural disaster'?) and can be a pricey coverage
correct me if i'm wrong
yeah its a bit pricier almost half of your rate if i recall correctly
Ford_Fanatic
02-04-2012, 05:54 PM
My earthquake through BCAA is roughly 44% of my yearly insurance cost. ($1016.55 out of $2319.45)
I live in Richmond and the earthquake insurance doesn't cover flooding, just structural. Expensive but better safe than sorry.
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