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...So when IS the automobile market going to recover?
Acura604
02-02-2022, 12:10 PM
https://youtu.be/5155bc4s7bs
its crazy..affecting pretty much all brands.
320icar
02-02-2022, 12:51 PM
It isn’t. I hope y’all’r rich or already got cars you want to keep for a long while
Spectre_Cdn
02-02-2022, 01:04 PM
It’s ok, it’ll be at least a couple years until the next RDX Kappa
bcrdukes
02-02-2022, 01:40 PM
I'm more disappointed Acura604 hasn't purchased new wheels and asked us which set to go with.
Great68
02-02-2022, 01:56 PM
Man. I feel like I lucked out in timing when I bought my last two cars. The MS3 on the heels of the great recession, heavily discounted from the dealership.
My F150, 2019 just before these massive price jumps on trucks in the last couple years.
forcedot
02-02-2022, 02:59 PM
My guess is the chips will start to catch up by mid summer. By end of year, the supply will hopefully catch up to the demand of everyone waiting to buy.
Computer graphic cards on the other hand, will likely be next year.
Eff-1
02-02-2022, 03:24 PM
13 minutes long?? :fuckthatshit:
JDMDreams
02-02-2022, 06:08 PM
I thought ppl where saying basically there is no shortage cuz inventory is all in people's driveways already and there might be a over supply. And there's gonna be a cliff when supply comes in and everyone dumps their used cars.
I guess also when rates go up. I mean isn't Toyota at like 4.99% right now?
And yea I dumped most of my car collection too and at least broke even if not made money on the last 6 cars I sold since the pandemic. :notbad: considering I've been losing money on cars all these years
forcedot
02-02-2022, 06:32 PM
I thought ppl where saying basically there is no shortage cuz inventory is all in people's driveways already and there might be a over supply. And there's gonna be a cliff when supply comes in and everyone dumps their used cars.
I guess also when rates go up. I mean isn't Toyota at like 4.99% right now?
And yea I dumped most of my car collection too and at least broke even if not made money on the last 6 cars I sold since the pandemic. :notbad: considering I've been losing money on cars all these years
They can do higher rates when there's no supply and they sell cars no problem, I was told open road Toyota basically shut down because they had no new inventory.
I ended up selling 3 cars during the pandemic, made money on 2 and broke even on the other. I'll be waiting until supply returns to normal before buying again.
Hondaracer
02-03-2022, 06:41 AM
Man. I feel like I lucked out in timing when I bought my last two cars. The MS3 on the heels of the great recession, heavily discounted from the dealership.
My F150, 2019 just before these massive price jumps on trucks in the last couple years.
My uncle just paid 100k for a 2022 Lariat..
!Aznboi128
02-03-2022, 06:59 AM
My uncle just paid 100k for a 2022 Lariat..
I hope that had all the options.
trollface
02-03-2022, 07:04 AM
I'm more disappointed Acura604 hasn't purchased new wheels and asked us which set to go with.
Wheel shortage.
Hondaracer
02-03-2022, 07:59 AM
I hope that had all the options.
Yea.. basically every option from the factory and then every option the dealer could sell him.. dat divorce stress :pokerface: lol
donk.
02-03-2022, 08:03 AM
When is the housing market going to recover
:troll:
twitchyzero
02-03-2022, 08:30 AM
Price is $18,000 and the seller states he won't take a penny less than asking. This seems like the norm from what I've gathered. What happened to negotiating. These owners are overvaluing the car like it's a collectible. I would be happy to buy one in the 9-12k range but $18k is absurd. Why can't owners be more realistic with pricing? 18K is S2K territory
2015 page 1 of type r thread
EvoFire
02-03-2022, 10:23 AM
Industry experts say the earliest is Q1 of 2023. Perhaps even longer. Production supply for chips takes time to catch up.
Problem is the manufacturers and dealers have had such a good run not having to give discounts, selling everything they make, and reaping in huge profits on just making more expensive vehicles, I'm not sure it would go back to where the world was a few years ago.
trollface
02-03-2022, 10:44 AM
So experts say it could be next year or maybe not.
Thanks, experts.
MarkyMark
02-03-2022, 11:08 AM
My uncle just paid 100k for a 2022 Lariat..
So he paid for a fully loaded Limited and left with a Lariat lol, I'm going to hang onto my truck as long as I can.
Acura604
02-03-2022, 12:21 PM
I'm more disappointed Acura604 hasn't purchased new wheels and asked us which set to go with.
well...here's the thing... back in the day...my acuras were all really sitting on 17s or 18s. and there's such a variety of those sizes...i went insane wanting the perfect wheel...
so insane..that...on the 2017 RDX ELITE... i was so grossed out by stock wheels i went to desperate measures with plastidip to make them look 'sharper'...
...look at these...wtf ... (stock)
https://i.imgur.com/ZuOUD7e.jpg
so...with a bit of creativity and DIP..
https://i.imgur.com/WwWJ8Nu.jpg
https://i.imgur.com/p2ZHlbl.jpg
but alas...here I am with a 2021 RDX A-Spec...this thing has massive 20" wheels that actually look great! not to mention my 18" winter wheels look fabulous also - soooo...i'm at a point where there's simply no reason to shop for a different look....call me 'content'.
https://i.imgur.com/nE7cySG.jpg
JDMDreams
02-03-2022, 12:29 PM
Look at that line of wheel weights, you need some 25mm spacers at least :lawl:
Hondaracer
02-03-2022, 02:37 PM
So he paid for a fully loaded Limited and left with a Lariat lol, I'm going to hang onto my truck as long as I can.
That’s what I said, why did you not buy the limited. No availability apparently.
I mentioned this before but a family friend bought a pair of brand new top of the line snowmobiles from Ski-doo, they have a blank insert where the gauges are suppose to be because of the chip shortage..
68style
02-03-2022, 03:19 PM
Uhm... the stock elite wheels look a lot better than the painted ones... it's like an old 90's black and white tuxedo now
bcrdukes
02-03-2022, 05:15 PM
well...here's the thing... back in the day...my acuras were all really sitting on 17s or 18s. and there's such a variety of those sizes...i went insane wanting the perfect wheel...
so insane..that...on the 2017 RDX ELITE... i was so grossed out by stock wheels i went to desperate measures with plastidip to make them look 'sharper'...
...Edited
but alas...here I am with a 2021 RDX A-Spec...this thing has massive 20" wheels that actually look great! not to mention my 18" winter wheels look fabulous also - soooo...i'm at a point where there's simply no reason to shop for a different look....call me 'content'.
Thank goodness you've brought back some sanity to the forums. :sweetjesus:
white rocket
02-04-2022, 09:59 AM
Third or fourth quarter of 2023 is what most are saying at the dealership fleet department level. We are in the thick of it now so it'll be a slow trickle for another year and a bit with steady improvement as we move forward. All hearsay I suppose but that's what people are saying.
Another factor is manufacturers building lower trim levels so they can concentrate on volume. This might speak to Hondaracer's uncle. The more options it has, the more chips needed. I tried to order a new Escalade 3.0 diesel top trim and they said a 2 year wait minimum; but ordering a base model with the gas motor and it's a 6 month wait. Same with Ford trucks. I have a couple 2022 F150 Lightnings are order and they had to be XLT trims to qualify for fleet. The Lariat and Platinum trims are reserve for those blowing Ford Corp higher ups.
EvoFire is bang on too. Zero discounts, refusing to sell for cash and forcing people to finance, asking 20% over MSRP for 1 to 2 year old vehicles; it's all so crazy. It makes more sense to buy new at sticker price then to entertain a 2021 or 2020 pre-owned in this market. But then you have to wait months since there is no stock and everything sitting is for someone who has been waiting.
So this begs the big question; when is the ball going to drop? More gradual as supply increases perhaps? I'm wonder what the 2008 financial crisis will be this time around. Something is coming, but what? And when? A bit more of a broad topic than just the auto industry but worth a discussion in here I feel.
trollface
02-04-2022, 10:08 AM
Lol @ the suckers paying 20% over MSRP lol
Traum
02-04-2022, 10:25 AM
As I understand it, auto manufacturers tend to use older semiconductor technology in their vehicles. But the semiconductor manufacturers have very little interest in upping their production capacity for those older semiconductor manufacturing processes because the profits lie with the latest and greatest tech, not the older stuff.
We know the US is working hard to ramp up domestic semiconductor production capacity, but it doesn't make sense to me that these new facilities will be used to produce what is essentially "legacy" technology. That means manufacturers will be forced to adopt newer and pricier semiconductor products in their new vehicles, and that will drive up vehicle costs.
JDMDreams
02-04-2022, 10:32 AM
The sucker's paying over MSRP, at 5.99% sounds more like a want than a need
european
02-04-2022, 10:57 AM
When is the housing market going to recover
:troll:
:troll: :troll:
Hondaracer
02-04-2022, 12:12 PM
Lol @ the suckers paying 20% over MSRP lol
More like 40-50 in some of these cases. Like worst possible time to be buying a truck
twitchyzero
02-04-2022, 12:33 PM
some people only have one car and when it dies they dont have choice to wait around 6 months for msrp unfortunately
lightly used in-demand models are already over msrp anyways
guess my parents have to make do with herky jerky pos for at least 2 more years
Roach
02-04-2022, 06:03 PM
As a used car dealer I have many thoughts about the market. Pardon my rambling ahead:
- I can't say that we are enjoying this either. While used car values have increased in the past 2 years, so have the costs of purchasing them. We have been trying to maintain a minimal inventory and cycle the vehicles quickly to avoid being exposed when the market does eventually correct itself. Having to buy vehicles over their new MSRP at times is a difficult pill to swallow. But I also have to rely on market data to see what vehicles are in demand and average days they take to sell. As someone inferred earlier, everyone doesn't have the luxury of putting a deposit down and waiting 2-6 months for their new vehicle to arrive. A lot of vehicles are still needs based due to job situations, write-offs, new to BC etc. I feel bad for these people. Inventory levels are low and even some of the slimiest retailers with terrible practices are thriving.
- I can't believe some of the stuff some new car dealers are pulling lately. This example is with some Toyota stores I have heard of: They will take a deposit for a Tacoma/RAV4 Hybrid/4Runner or other hot vehicle. Come the time for your vehicle to arrive, some dealers will not sell you the vehicle if you are a cash buyer. If you are a cash buyer, you best have a trade. And when they appraise that trade, they absolutely lowball the shit out of these people because they know they can. Also, they won't appraise your trade at the time you put the deposit down. Yes, your vehicle may get driven more. But the main reason they do it is because when your shiny new object arrives, they think they have you by the balls and can offer you pennies on the dollar. You don't like the trade value? Ok, no deal we will sell your high demand factory order to someone else. It's such short term thinking on how they treat their clients.
- Another reason for the local vehicle inflation: Some online players that have entered the market. They are paying absurd money at auctions and re-selling these vehicles to clients with challenging credit. So that credit challenged client is already buying a vehicle over market price. On top of that, they will send your credit app to so many banks that it knocks your credit score down so badly. And this is unbeknownst to the client. So they end up coming to us and we check their credit history and notice that there are sometimes 7-10 inquiries on their credit recently. All this under the veil of being forward-thinking business models.
I am looking forward to inventory levels coming back to normal. With few exceptions, vehicles are depreciating assets. Inflation in the used vehicle market is something that is not sustainable both for consumers and retailers alike.
Anyways, I've rambled too much.
Kev
Roach
02-04-2022, 06:19 PM
Holy shit it's been 20 years since I joined this site. :offtopic::awwyeah:
headhunt3r
02-04-2022, 08:36 PM
I went car shopping with somebody that's new to BC a few weeks ago, and the local Kia dealership was adding a $2k markup on new Kia Soul EX's. That's nearly 10% of the MSRP. :Puke:
I pointed it out to the buyers, and they fortunately ended up with a car at MSRP at Mazda.
JDMDreams
02-04-2022, 08:47 PM
Yea I'm not sure if a 08 will happen cuz a lot of ppl financing used cars at MSRP or over will be under water once the market corrects.
- I can't believe some of the stuff some new car dealers are pulling lately. This example is with some Toyota stores I have heard of: They will take a deposit for a Tacoma/RAV4 Hybrid/4Runner or other hot vehicle. Come the time for your vehicle to arrive, some dealers will not sell you the vehicle if you are a cash buyer. If you are a cash buyer, you best have a trade. And when they appraise that trade, they absolutely lowball the shit out of these people because they know they can. Also, they won't appraise your trade at the time you put the deposit down. Yes, your vehicle may get driven more. But the main reason they do it is because when your shiny new object arrives, they think they have you by the balls and can offer you pennies on the dollar. You don't like the trade value? Ok, no deal we will sell your high demand factory order to someone else. It's such short term thinking on how they treat their clients.
This is what happened to a friend of mine. The sales manager wouldn't release the car since he was buying it in cash unless he had a trade in but they gave him a week and if no one took it with a trade, they'd sell it to him. He eventually got it though.
Second part happened to me, placed an order for a car and they said they wouldn't appraise it until the vehicle arrived in 3-4 months. I just sold it to a friend of mine for more than what they would've appraised my car at. Luckily I have the luxury of driving other cars while I wait.
EvoFire
02-04-2022, 10:09 PM
The timeline may be all over the place as semi conductor manufacturers are working with auto manufacturers to certify newer tech quickly. What Traum said is true that the automakers typically use really outdated stuff for non-media purposes, easily be running 2-3 decade old designs for things you don't see but just function as you expect.
radeonboy
03-28-2022, 10:44 PM
I went car shopping with somebody that's new to BC a few weeks ago, and the local Kia dealership was adding a $2k markup on new Kia Soul EX's. That's nearly 10% of the MSRP. :Puke:
I pointed it out to the buyers, and they fortunately ended up with a car at MSRP at Mazda.
I had a similar experience with a local Kia dealer where I put a deposit on for a Soul. Are there any decent Kia dealers in the lower mainland?
jaaagman
03-29-2022, 04:50 PM
- I can't believe some of the stuff some new car dealers are pulling lately. This example is with some Toyota stores I have heard of: They will take a deposit for a Tacoma/RAV4 Hybrid/4Runner or other hot vehicle. Come the time for your vehicle to arrive, some dealers will not sell you the vehicle if you are a cash buyer. If you are a cash buyer, you best have a trade. And when they appraise that trade, they absolutely lowball the shit out of these people because they know they can. Also, they won't appraise your trade at the time you put the deposit down. Yes, your vehicle may get driven more. But the main reason they do it is because when your shiny new object arrives, they think they have you by the balls and can offer you pennies on the dollar. You don't like the trade value? Ok, no deal we will sell your high demand factory order to someone else. It's such short term thinking on how they treat their clients.
I can absolutely confirm that dealers are doing this. My parents were given an allocation of a vehicle after months of waiting. However, this allocation had to be purchased through finance (we were looking to make a cash purchase). If not, we would have to wait for another allocation. We ended up taking the car, but it was absolutely disgusting...
I hope sooner or later we can adopt a direct sales model and do away with these dealers.
threezero
03-29-2022, 06:12 PM
Yep same here.
Almost exactly like Roach describe. Put a deposit down for a Rav4 was told “just” a 3 month wait. 3 month come they told me I need to trade in my other car or we will be back on the waiting list for the next car, maybe another 3 month or possible 6 months.
Went for an Ford bronco sports instead. Seems like the hotter the model the more they tend to pull this crap.
quasi
03-29-2022, 06:18 PM
My wife needs a new vehicle but I'll be dammed if I'm buying one in this market. If we have to wait another 12 or 18 months we will.
westopher
03-29-2022, 06:31 PM
As soon as something gets sorted, either something else will happen, or they will manufacture a crisis to keep prices high. We are now in the world of 120k m3s, 300k GT3s and 100k f-150s. We're all gonna die, so we might as well be leveraged to shit when it happens I guess. Just put it on the HELOC
BIC_BAWS
03-29-2022, 07:39 PM
To echo Roach regarding the new online players (ie. Clutch, CanadaDrives, even Dilwarli Online Loan thingy) - do not use those. They did exactly what Roach said. I had a bunch of ppl call me saying I applied for loans with them too, but I didn't. So that's super sus too. I keep a close eye on my credit score and any new accounts. Fortunately, they didn't knock my score low enough to not qualify for VW CPO or Honda CPO.
I needed to buy a new car in December. My brother was going back to school and needed the daily and I sure as hell wasn't gonna drive the death trap e36 m3 in the snow. At that time, a decent used car was 25K-35K. I figured I might as well pay the premium and get a Type R, cause there ain't no way I'm paying 35K for a Veloster N - sorry Gerbs lol
Definitely the shittiest time to buy a car, but it's even shittier to buy a crappier version of the car you wish you had.
twitchyzero
03-30-2022, 08:49 AM
As soon as something gets sorted, either something else will happen, or they will manufacture a crisis to keep prices high. We are now in the world of 120k m3s, 300k GT3s and 100k f-150s
yeah they saw what people are willing to throw
there's no going back to affordability for in-demand models
then again e30 m when new is essentially 100k in today's money :toot:
JDMDreams
03-30-2022, 12:27 PM
REASONABLE PRICE,
ONE OWNER,
LOW MILEAGE,
SERVICE RECORDS
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rebuilt
:troll:
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