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-   -   What are my mathematical chances of being shot? (https://www.revscene.net/forums/564525-what-my-mathematical-chances-being-shot.html)

MegaMx 02-13-2009 07:05 AM

What are my mathematical chances of being shot?
 
As the title says.. these are the factors that matter:

1) I drive a Range Rover
2) I live two blocks away from a IGA & shop there (burnaby)
3) I sometimes have class at SFU Surrey campus that I drive to

Never been related to a gang, never was part of a gang, barely even met somebody who belongs to a gang.

PS: For those with lower than normal IQs, this is sarcasm.. mostly

RFlush 02-13-2009 07:11 AM

Hmm doing the mathematical calculations and given the variables, every time you step outside your house you have a 50% chances of being shot. You have a 33% chances of being shot if you remain in your house and you have a 95.6777%(repeating of course) chance of being shot when you are in your SUV.

My best suggestion would be to kill yourself before another person gets the chance.

hotjoint 02-13-2009 07:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RFlush (Post 6278799)
Hmm doing the mathematical calculations and given the variables, every time you step outside your house you have a 50% chances of being shot. You have a 33% chances of being shot if you remain in your house and you have a 95.6777%(repeating of course) chance of being shot when you are in your SUV.

My best suggestion would be to kill yourself before another person gets the chance.

those are the calculations that I got as well :thumbsup:

Jer3 02-13-2009 08:28 AM

wear pink. i hear its a gangster repellent.

CRS 02-13-2009 08:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jer3 (Post 6278902)
wear pink. i hear its a gangster repellent.

BUT it is a hate crime attractant.

ZhangFei 02-13-2009 08:35 AM

I wouldn't wish being shot on nobody.

However because of the economic crisis, there is a chance you might be "fired" from your job.

*drum roll*

BNR32_Coupe 02-13-2009 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MegaMx (Post 6278784)
As the title says.. these are the factors that matter:

1) I drive a Range Rover
2) I live two blocks away from a IGA & shop there (burnaby)
3) I sometimes have class at SFU Surrey campus that I drive to

Never been related to a gang, never was part of a gang, barely even met somebody who belongs to a gang.

PS: For those with lower than normal IQs, this is sarcasm.. mostly

Hi MegaMx!!

That's a good question, thank you for bringing that up. Now, with every single particle and wave of energy in this universe, it's location relative to other particles or frequency has a precise location or quantity - to an extent! Each particles location has a small but general probability room. This means that it is possible for a particle to go through a solid wall, for example, as illustrated in this picture:

http://abyss.uoregon.edu/~js/images/..._tunneling.gif

This would be an example of quantum tunneling and probability relative to everything that exists in the universe. Let's move on towards a more specific topic, being shot in your Range Rover infront of the IGA Marketplace in Burnaby. If you factor in several key variables, you can easily find out your odds of being shot versus how many visits you make to that location in your Range Rover.



http://www.newscientist.com/blog/env...aph-796739.jpg
1) First, we analyze the data provided for high fuel high cost SUV's relative to their related crime rates


http://vancouvercondo.info/uploaded_...wth-783418.gif
2) Population growth for Vancouver. Burnaby shouldn't be far off. We'll use this data and pinpoint-average the location for the IGA in Burnaby to give us an accurate crime rate figure for that block

http://img.villagephotos.com/p/2005-...oidc2graph.jpg
Logistic crinoid distribution count. Convert every 1mm = 1km. Factor this in to the pinpoint-average above and you have an accurate estimate of how bad the crime will be.

http://science.ksc.nasa.gov/mars/rov...s/prob_ber.jpg
Success versus frame factor (bit error rate of course). This is important for later



Let's use our findings in the following formula's!

http://drherbie.files.wordpress.com/...ula%5B5%5D.gif
http://www.heybrewer.com/wp-content/...ty-formula.jpg
http://www.psipog.net/artimg/probability-03.png
http://www.discover6sigma.org/img/pas-prob-formula.jpg

Rule of Addition If events A and B come from the same sample space, the probability that event A and/or event B occur is equal to the probability that event A occurs plus the probability that event B occurs minus the probability that both events A and B occur.
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)

Note: Invoking the fact that P( A ∩ B ) = P( A )P( B | A ), the Addition Rule can also be expressed as
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A)P( B | A )

All our data suggests that the probability that event A (being shot in your range rover in IGA burnaby) occurs is equal to 1 in 4.8816507805309E06

Hehe, that was fun, wasn't it? I get really excited when we get to do formula's on revscene. Well, I hope you guys had as much fun as I do, till then, keep your calculators recharged, guys! :)

chun 02-13-2009 09:25 AM

That was epic.

Klutch 02-13-2009 09:30 AM

juss sticky this shit now...its like a fucken DIY hhaha

Culture_Vulture 02-13-2009 09:38 AM

I don't understand of what you just did,
but that was freaken awesome

Girl 02-13-2009 11:17 AM

This thread is FULL of win!!11 :lol

That just made my day.



...Geez I find entertainment in VOT now instead of FC...where has this world come to?!

SlySi 02-13-2009 11:32 AM

1) I drive a Range Rover
Dont drive. Bus.

2) I live two blocks away from a IGA & shop there (burnaby)
If you are living near Burnaby Mountain Golf Course. Then you are in gangster free land.

3) I sometimes have class at SFU Surrey campus that I drive to
Criminals are too dumb to go to SFU.

411ken 02-13-2009 11:49 AM

HAHAHAHA, that calculation was awesome!!

jimzilla 02-13-2009 07:47 PM

that was epic

wats more sad is that i understand everything you said

shenmecar 02-13-2009 07:53 PM

^

revscene nerd meet any time soon?

pawdregry4g 02-13-2009 08:54 PM

fcking stats ><

R8 02-13-2009 09:36 PM

holy epic monster kill

StaxBundlez 02-13-2009 09:52 PM

K, now do mine!

I got a E55 AMG with 22' black wheels with a chrome lip

i got tattoos up to my neck and down my arms

i wear a fat platinum chain with diamonds on it that cost 90k

i got a Rolex thats iced out with the shape of my cock as the minute hand

i wear nothing but ed hardy and smett



and im a preschool teacher..

R8 02-13-2009 10:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StaxBundlez (Post 6279977)
K, now do mine!

I got a E55 AMG with 22' black wheels with a chrome lip

i got tattoos up to my neck and down my arms

i wear a fat platinum chain with diamonds on it that cost 90k

i got a Rolex thats iced out with the shape of my cock as the minute hand

i wear nothing but ed hardy and smett



and im a preschool teacher..

uh................... it was 100% until the preschool teacher popped up.

AVS_Racing 02-13-2009 10:18 PM

^^^^^^^ lol ur fine

Euro7r 02-13-2009 10:26 PM

BNR32_Coupe's post, should be the POST OF THE YEAR! haha

GordonTse 02-13-2009 10:46 PM

as long as your RR is stock and not on chrome 24's, and you don't wear all that ed hardy, CA shit.. you should be fine.

JSALES 02-13-2009 10:48 PM

haha!

snowball 02-13-2009 11:32 PM

being in surrey raises ur chance to 100%

godwin 02-13-2009 11:40 PM

I think BNR32_Coupe's assumption #1 is wrong.. since all the shootings are targeted and well known.. I think you have to look up the ICBC database to see whether the RR colour / model is actually owned by the gangsters first. I mean if the OP's RR is a barbie pink and yet non of the gangster own one, obviously you can use the general population stats... we should also bin the numbers by shades.. eg Grey, Metallic Grey etc could be mistaken as black at night.

eg If you have a Black Cayenne.. or Black SL63 then your chances will be dependent how many of them are on the road.

Stats is not very useful if you are not using the correct assumptions.


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