supafamous | 06-10-2023 06:49 AM | Quote:
Originally Posted by westopher
(Post 9101117)
When those renews happen though, and people have to put a lump sum down that they probably don't have, we've got 2008 US on our hands. The effects aren't being felt to their full extent yet, but it could get very ugly when they are. | Some math to illustrate using $100k mortgage at 30 years:
2% = $370/mo
5% = $535/mo (+$165/mo, 45% increase)
To keep their payments the same when they renew after 5 years and stay on track (25 years) they have to come up with ~$24,000 at renewal. On a $500k mortgage you'd need to come up with about $120k or see your payments go from $1850 to $2675/mo. Oof.
That's sorta the worst case scenario but not hard to see some people (10-20%?) being unable to come up with the money when renewals come up or they have to make drastic lifestyle changes.
My friend in Victoria was just telling me she thinks they're now in over their heads, property taxes went up 27%, home insurance is up, mortgage is at 4.6% etc. They're very middle class for Victoria but are getting to their limit now and I can imagine a lot of folks like her are running out room to make it work.
Reminds me of this Beaverton article: https://www.thebeaverton.com/2022/07...ore-expensive/ Quote:
To help combat record-high inflation and bring some relief to financially squeezed Canadians, The Bank of Canada announced Wednesday that they would hike the key interest rate for the third time this year, making entirely different things more expensive instead.
“We know that across the country Canadians are struggling with the rising cost of things like groceries, gas, and other daily necessities due to record high-inflation,” said Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem. “That’s why we’re taking aggressive action to raise the key interest rate which will financially screw Canadians in new, other ways,” said Macklem.
Across the country, Canadians welcomed the relief that was sure to be felt by the bank’s most recent announcement.
“I’m so grateful the government is taking such swift action on inflation,” said Ottawa resident Ken Grimsby. “My family’s weekly grocery bill was really skyrocketing, but now as prices settle I can use that money to pay for my mortgage, which just jacked up $400 a month.”
The positive effects have been welcomed by younger Canadians as well.
“I was really struggling to pay for gas to get to campus every day,” said recent university grad Marwa Hussein. “I’m really glad we can expect the cost of gas to go down, because now my car payment’s going up starting next month.I don’t even want to think about how much higher my student loan payments are going to be.”
Some Canadians are questioning why the move didn’t happen sooner.
“I really wish I knew they were going to do this a few months ago,” said single mother Barbara Williams. “Otherwise when I was struggling to pay for gas, groceries, new clothes, and utilities a few months ago I wouldn’t have put so many things on my line of credit, since the cost of paying that back just went up too.”
“But hey, on the bright side, this might mean that housing prices might cool down just in time for virtually no one to be able to qualify for a mortgage.”
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