Finance: Inverted Yield Curve - Is a recession coming?

[PeanutButter]

Are we screwed???

Some "experts" say that the curve needs to be inverted for at least one quarter, if this is the case, a recession should follow within 18 months.

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[DragonChi]

It's flattening, but Tbill yields have not inverted. Moreover, interest rates were held this week. It's doubtful that there's going to be a recession this year. Though, no one ever has a crystal ball with these things.

[PeanutButter]

Originally Posted by DragonChi

It's flattening, but Tbill yields have not inverted. Moreover, interest rates were held this week. It's doubtful that there's going to be a recession this year. Though, no one ever has a crystal ball with these things.

Inverted Yield Curve Returns, Spooking Some Stock Investors | Fortune

They've inverted.
3month yields are higher than 10 year yields.

[DragonChi]

https://www.treasury.gov/resource-ce...spx?data=yield

OK, I stand corrected. replotted with todays numbers and looked at 3 mo to 10 yr. That 10 year needs to lower! lol

Could happen. I'm sitting in cash right now. So I'm actually hoping for a debt cycle.

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TBH though, if there is a recession, the FED is kinda in a tight spot since they can't really lower interest rates.

[Badhobz]

Stocks are all in the toilet this week. Nobody seems to be buying much of anything. Houses, condos are all dropping in price. Luxury cars aren't moving and there seems to be less exotics on the road nowadays.

I'm pretty sure we are headed towards. Recession already.