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Old 06-22-2016, 11:29 PM   #1
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BREXIT - Results Thread!!!

So is anyone else hyped up over this?
The gambling websites seem to think UK will remain in the EU.

Playnow is offering 1.03:1 odds UK will remain
and 9:1 odds UK will exit.

The UK's EU referendum: All you need to know - BBC News
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What is happening?
A referendum is being held on Thursday, 23 June, to decide whether Britain should leave or remain in the European Union. This article is designed to be an easy-to-understand guide. Thanks for all your questions - we've answered a selection at the bottom of the page.

What is a referendum?
A referendum is basically a vote in which everyone (or nearly everyone) of voting age can take part, normally giving a "Yes" or "No" answer to a question. Whichever side gets more than half of all votes cast is considered to have won.

Why is a referendum being held?
Prime Minister David Cameron promised to hold one if he won the 2015 general election, in response to growing calls from his own Conservative MPs and the UK Independence Party (UKIP), who argued that Britain had not had a say since 1975, when it voted to stay in the EU in a referendum. The EU has changed a lot since then, gaining more control over our daily lives, they argued. Mr Cameron said: "It is time for the British people to have their say. It is time to settle this European question in British politics."
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Old 06-23-2016, 12:11 AM   #2
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By all indications, it is going to be very, very close. It could have swung either way, and have been doing so for the last little bit. But I agree that the current climate seems to favour the Remain camp by just a bit.

Regardless of how the outcome turns out, I don't think either camp would be happy. The bitching (and controversy) are not going to stop.
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Old 06-23-2016, 12:34 AM   #3
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There's been as much as a 20% undecided vote factor... and when it comes down to it, the type of people who say they're "not sure" when asked about something so clear cut will ALWAYS err on the side of caution when pushed to choose something. They will stay in the EU. Xenophobia over immigration is less important to most people than potentially destroying their financial net worth.
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Old 06-23-2016, 01:00 AM   #4
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Personally, I don't know whether the undecided vote factor is bigger, or the actually coming out to vote factor is bigger. For reasons that are completely beyond my comprehension, a LOT of people do not come out and vote, even though they often make all kinds of noise supporting one side or the other.
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Old 06-23-2016, 01:04 AM   #5
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Personally, I think they're gonna remain in EU.
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Old 06-23-2016, 01:33 AM   #6
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I think the terrorist murder of the MP swayed many undecided to stay
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Old 06-23-2016, 02:59 AM   #7
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Just cuz I know some of u gamble

https://m.oddschecker.com/t/politics...bership-result
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Old 06-23-2016, 10:50 AM   #8
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Odd's are shit for voting on the actual outcome.

I bet on the percentages though. Bet 365 currently has:

UK to remain at 65.01% - 70.00% (in play bet) - 20/1
UK to Remain at 60.01% - 66.00% (in play bet) - 13/2

So 50 bucks on 65-70 will net over 1000 bucks.
50 bucks on 60-66 will net almost 400.

I bet both, just to cover more ground, I think this vote will be more lopsided than some think.

The other interesting one that Bet365 has is regional specific voting, so you can bet on the outcome in like just england, or just scotland, or just wales. Trouble is I don't know much about politics in the individual areas, otherwise I could see some room to make money in some of those odds.
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Old 06-23-2016, 01:38 PM   #9
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I think the terrorist murder of the MP swayed many undecided to stay
Why the fail nsmb? That's the opinion of many analysts on the BBC too...
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Old 06-23-2016, 01:45 PM   #10
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Why the fail nsmb? That's the opinion of many analysts on the BBC too...
I think its a stupid reason to change your vote due to that incident. You would be changing for emotional reasons but not a logical one.
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Old 06-23-2016, 03:55 PM   #11
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I think its a stupid reason to change your vote due to that incident. You would be changing for emotional reasons but not a logical one.
Agreed but unecideds are easily swayed
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Old 06-23-2016, 05:55 PM   #12
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Currently giving a slight lead to leave camp.

If they succeed, prepare for shitstorm tomorrow at Bay/Wall st.
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Old 06-23-2016, 05:56 PM   #13
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Yep, GBP is already taking a beating.
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Old 06-23-2016, 06:01 PM   #14
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Leave just broke 1M votes... with remain following closely at 900k
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Old 06-23-2016, 06:18 PM   #15
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Yep, GBP is already taking a beating.
Not just GBP, pretty much anything except USD and JPY are taking the result hard.

USD:CAD went from 1.27x at close to 1.29x in matter of minutes.
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Old 06-23-2016, 06:24 PM   #16
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Remain surpassed leave!
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Old 06-23-2016, 06:24 PM   #17
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Not just GBP, pretty much anything except USD and JPY are taking the result hard.

USD:CAD went from 1.27x at close to 1.29x in matter of minutes.
Holy shxt... so glad I ordered my car parts before the Brexit polls...

While I am not surprised the Leave camp is leading, I am quite surprised by the margin they are leading with. 12% more votes than the Remain camp wasn't something I was expecting at all. I was expecting the margin to be within 5% for either side, and definitely no more than a 10% difference. But WOW...

As an aside, watching the Brexit vote count is way more exciting than watching the 3 Lions play in Euro 2016...
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Old 06-23-2016, 06:30 PM   #18
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Fcking stupid British..... A Black Friday event is not good for anyone.

Still early though.
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Old 06-23-2016, 06:32 PM   #19
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Most betting sites now have LEAVE as the favorite
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Old 06-23-2016, 08:34 PM   #20
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anyone have the vegas odds on this?

vegas predicted the Scotts will stay long before the vote. I'm sure this will be the same!
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Old 06-23-2016, 08:39 PM   #21
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Leave clearly going to win.
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Old 06-23-2016, 08:57 PM   #22
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UK: Bah bye EU
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Old 06-23-2016, 08:59 PM   #23
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here comes the shit storm. EU mind as well just disassemble itself, UK is just the first of many to leave
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Old 06-23-2016, 09:04 PM   #24
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It's pretty much over.
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Old 06-23-2016, 09:14 PM   #25
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First this and next thing you know Trump will be building a wall and banning muslim immigrants... We're devolving
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