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Fully Vaxxed and ready to share popsicles :hotbaby: |
I feel like there's a euphemism buried in that analogy somewhere. In? |
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If body armour is "80% effective" does that mean it'll stop 8 bullets out of 10 but not 2? Or does it mean I have a 80% chance of survival even if all 10 bullets go through because the armour slows down the bullets? But I guess in the end these are all hyperbolic questions because if you have bad luck, or put yourself at risk by standing in a small room with 300 people, then they don't mean much. |
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So if you get shot once, you are pretty safe (but sometimes one shot is still enough), but if you get shot 10 times there's a good chance you'll die. As for actual numbers I'm sure someone can figure that out... 20% chance of dying over 10 times? |
I always assumed they come up with a % protection based on a sample size. IE: 100 people with vaccine, exposed to virus, 20 people end up infected = the vaccine has a "80% chance of protecting" the population. Which also means, from the individual's perspective, if you're one of the 20 who still got infected, you may as well interpret the vaccine as 0% protection for you... As in, it still either works or it doesn't. Of course I assume those who still get infected have less severe symptoms as a result of vaccination, so are still safer at the end. But with a super large sample size in the millions, we can 'generalize' the odds of how likely YOU are one of the unlucky ones to get the virus after vaccination. This is just how I imagined they come up with those numbers, with 0 knowledge. So I'm hopefully wrong :P EDIT: For the 2 analogies above regarding body armor. I interpret as, 10 people are given armor and are shot. 2 people die. Therefore we can conclude that the armor is 80% effective for the general population. But for the 2 people who died, the 80% statistic doesn't mean squat. |
The thing is, it’s about catching covid, not dying. There aren’t levels of death. 20/100 people may catch covid, and maybe 2 out of those 20 will even show minor symptoms |
Using the body armour analogy, the vaccines first reduces the odds of you getting shot at all. So say out of 100 people that got shot, 90 had no armour and 10 had armour. Then it also reduces the severity of the symptoms. So the 90 with no armour who got shot now have bullet wounds. The 10 with armour who got shot now have some serious bruising. Out of the 90 with bullet wounds, some will die. Out of the 10 with armour there's still a very slim chance of a bullet slipping through the gaps and killing them, but it's tiny compared to the number of un-armoured people dying. |
2 weeks after second shot just live your life at a comfort level you feel is adequate. Bullet proof vests or sharing a popsicle aside lol |
I got a box of popsicles for next RS meet for whoever wants to share. |
Captain Happy Bubble has the best fried chicken, BTW, amongst other things. After a few weeks of second shot, I’ve still to experience any kind of side effects. Pfizer Moderna mix. I’m thinking of going for a third shot. Just have to wait to hear officially when that is even permitted. If I can’t cross into the US when the boArder opens up, because I’m a halfer, I’m going all Karen and shit. Hell hath no fury like a frugal asian scorned. |
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Please. |
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What a headache |
89 cases yesterday:pokerface::ohgodwhy: x4 the amount we had at the beginning of the month |
Hospitalizations are the lowest since sept 1st 2020 |
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Only if your double vaxxed |
Lots of ontario plates, are they still on lockdown? Also lots of ppl street racing, be careful out there! |
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In Montreal, mont-tremblant specifically we went to a fully packed nightclub like shoulder to shoulder no masks :awwyeah: Not the place I wanted to be persay but when you’re half cut ya go with the flow |
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Daughter was hot, mom, not so much. One of those, "has been," porn actresses. Then donk wants westopher to put one in his mouth.......... like, WTF? I don't want to know you guys anymore, gulolol. Save it for Captain Happy Bubble. Wait, none of those guys are members.............. I think it's high time we invite westopher, the Samoan, to be one of the few privileged RS members to be included in the elite few who have been chosen. Gawd, that was awful engrish........... thanks, RS. I can no longer write properly. Imma gonna half too try Gramerlly. |
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Let me go through my terabytes upon terabytes of porn and see if I can find it......... I really need a better filing system, lol. Honestly, this was like before............ wait, it wasn't on VHS, so not that old. You're a hoot. |
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